Fat Brands Stock Performance
| FAT Stock | USD 0.22 0.07 24.14% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.38, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, FAT Brands will likely underperform. At this point, FAT Brands has a negative expected return of -2.69%. Please make sure to confirm FAT Brands' treynor ratio, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if FAT Brands performance from the past will be repeated in the future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days FAT Brands has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield 0.4118 | Last Split Factor 1794:1000 | Forward Dividend Rate 0.56 | Dividend Date 2024-11-29 | Ex Dividend Date 2024-11-15 |
1 | FAT Brands FY2025 EPS Estimate Reduced by Noble Financial | 11/12/2025 |
2 | FAT Brands warns of potential bankruptcy after 1.26 billion debt acceleration - Yahoo Finance | 11/24/2025 |
3 | Fat Brands receives notice of debt acceleration and board resignation By Investing.com - Investing.com South Africa | 12/02/2025 |
4 | Fatburger Brings a Taste of Hollywood to Japan with Okinawa Opening | 12/16/2025 |
5 | Fatburger Owner Faces Allegations It Masked Liquidity Crunch - Yahoo Finance | 12/19/2025 |
6 | Fat Brands elects board members and approves proposals at annual meeting - Investing.com | 12/31/2025 |
7 | Round Table Pizza Delivers Triple the Flavor With Triple Crown Pepperoni Pizza | 01/05/2026 |
8 | Love at First Bite Great American Cookies Introduces New Cookie Cakes for Valentines Day | 01/12/2026 |
9 | FAT Brands Faces Nasdaq Delisting, Bankruptcy With Massive Debt and Low Stock Price - franchisetimes.com | 01/15/2026 |
10 | Parent of restaurant chain that started in Lexington files for bankruptcy | 01/27/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 91.9 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -26.5 M |
FAT Brands Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 179.00 in FAT Brands on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (157.00) from holding FAT Brands or give up 87.71% of portfolio value over 90 days. FAT Brands is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 10.7486% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 96% of stocks are less volatile than FAT, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
FAT Brands Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of FAT Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.22 | 90 days | 0.22 | about 83.24 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FAT Brands to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 83.24 (This FAT Brands probability density function shows the probability of FAT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.38 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, FAT Brands will likely underperform. Additionally FAT Brands has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. FAT Brands Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for FAT Brands
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FAT Brands. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.FAT Brands Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FAT Brands is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FAT Brands' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FAT Brands, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FAT Brands within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -2.79 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.55 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.3 |
FAT Brands Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FAT Brands for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FAT Brands can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| FAT Brands generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| FAT Brands has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| FAT Brands has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| FAT Brands has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| FAT Brands has 1.47 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 7.2, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. FAT Brands has a current ratio of 0.4, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for FAT to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 592.65 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (189.85 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 141.6 M. | |
| FAT Brands has about 23.91 M in cash with (56.25 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.44, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| FAT Brands has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 67.0% of FAT Brands shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Parent of restaurant chain that started in Lexington files for bankruptcy |
FAT Brands Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FAT Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FAT Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FAT Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 23.4 M |
FAT Brands Fundamentals Growth
FAT Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of FAT Brands, and FAT Brands fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on FAT Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -1.57 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.0243 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.39) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0.11) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 1.48 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 16.67 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 16.21 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 12.81 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.01 X | ||||
| Revenue | 592.65 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 141.6 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (12.82 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (189.85 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 23.91 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 1.44 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 1.47 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 7.20 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 0.41 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | (34.94) X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (56.25 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (13.36) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 5.43 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 1.29 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (458.62 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | (210.28 M) | ||||
| Current Asset | 1.99 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 13.48 M | ||||
About FAT Brands Performance
Assessing FAT Brands' fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into FAT Brands' financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the FAT Brands is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 11.82 | 11.23 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.22) | (0.21) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.02 | 0.02 | |
| Return On Assets | (0.07) | (0.07) | |
| Return On Equity | 0.32 | 0.28 |
Things to note about FAT Brands performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about FAT Brands for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for FAT Brands help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| FAT Brands generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| FAT Brands has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| FAT Brands has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| FAT Brands has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| FAT Brands has 1.47 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 7.2, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. FAT Brands has a current ratio of 0.4, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for FAT to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 592.65 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (189.85 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 141.6 M. | |
| FAT Brands has about 23.91 M in cash with (56.25 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.44, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| FAT Brands has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 67.0% of FAT Brands shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Parent of restaurant chain that started in Lexington files for bankruptcy |
- Analyzing FAT Brands' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether FAT Brands' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining FAT Brands' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating FAT Brands' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of FAT Brands' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of FAT Brands' stock. These opinions can provide insight into FAT Brands' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for FAT Stock Analysis
When running FAT Brands' price analysis, check to measure FAT Brands' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FAT Brands is operating at the current time. Most of FAT Brands' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FAT Brands' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FAT Brands' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FAT Brands to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.